The Petalumahomes.com Realty WebLog

Normally, Mortgage Bonds and home loan rates find improvement when money is flowing out of Stocks - that money being pulled out needs somewhere to sit, and Bonds are generally the glad recipient. And while some Bonds did enjoy a great week - like Treasury Bonds - Mortgage Bonds actually worsened because of their relation to the issue at hand, fears of the credit quality of these Bonds, and home loan rates worsened slightly as well. And if the Stock market had not sold off so hard, sending money into all types of Bonds, Mortgage Bonds and home loan rates would certainly have been much worse off

Remember that when Bond prices move higher, home loan rates improve - and you can see in the chart below that despite some ups and downs, Bond prices have overall been trending higher over the last few months, meaning home loan rates on conforming loans have improved in general. Any weak or negative economic news arriving this week should help money flow into the safe haven of Bonds, helping Bond pricing move higher and home loan rates move lower.

But lingering concerns on the credit quality of Mortgage Bonds could hamper their road higher - so this week could be volatile, depending on the flavor of the headlines on this topic. And in this week’s planned economic releases, any scent of inflation in the reports will be very bad news for Bonds - which deliver a fixed return that is eroded by the effects of inflation - so that would spell bad news for home loan rates as well.